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Awards·Settles Jul 20, 2026

Who wins the 2026 Golden Ball?

Best player of the tournament

Price movement

Implied probability for the top five outcomes across selectable timeframes

$116,512 Vol.|$826K Liq.|Jul 20, 2026
Lamine Yamal flagLamine Yamal14%Kylian Mbappé flagKylian Mbappé12%Michael Olise flagMichael Olise10%Harry Kane flagHarry Kane8%Lionel Messi flagLionel Messi7%

Implied odds

Tap an outcome to load it in the trade panel

NationChanceTrade
  • 1
    Lamine Yamal flagLamine Yamal
    01Lamine Yamal flag

    Lamine Yamal

    Favorite

    $7,642 Vol.

    13.5%
  • 2
    Kylian Mbappé flagKylian Mbappé
    02Kylian Mbappé flag

    Kylian Mbappé

    $19,361 Vol.

    12.0%
  • 3
    Michael Olise flagMichael Olise
    03Michael Olise flag

    Michael Olise

    $7,432 Vol.

    10.0%
  • 4
    Harry Kane flagHarry Kane
    04Harry Kane flag

    Harry Kane

    $9,529 Vol.

    8.0%
  • 5
    Lionel Messi flagLionel Messi
    05Lionel Messi flag

    Lionel Messi

    $3,820 Vol.

    6.5%
  • 6
    Pedri flagPedri
    06Pedri flag

    Pedri

    $1,981 Vol.

    6.0%
  • 7
    Bruno Fernandes flagBruno Fernandes
    07Bruno Fernandes flag

    Bruno Fernandes

    $6,152 Vol.

    5.5%
  • 8
    Ousmane Dembélé flagOusmane Dembélé
    08Ousmane Dembélé flag

    Ousmane Dembélé

    $5,042 Vol.

    4.0%
  • 9
    Vitinha flagVitinha
    09Vitinha flag

    Vitinha

    $6,486 Vol.

    3.6%
  • 10
    Jude Bellingham flagJude Bellingham
    10Jude Bellingham flag

    Jude Bellingham

    $1,624 Vol.

    3.4%
  • 11
    Cristiano Ronaldo flagCristiano Ronaldo
    11Cristiano Ronaldo flag

    Cristiano Ronaldo

    $10,033 Vol.

    3.3%
  • 12
    Vinícius Jr. flagVinícius Jr.
    12Vinícius Jr. flag

    Vinícius Jr.

    $4,672 Vol.

    2.6%
  • 13
    Erling Haaland flagErling Haaland
    13Erling Haaland flag

    Erling Haaland

    $6,379 Vol.

    2.3%
  • 14
    Florian Wirtz flagFlorian Wirtz
    14Florian Wirtz flag

    Florian Wirtz

    $7,008 Vol.

    2.2%
  • 15
    Declan Rice flagDeclan Rice
    15Declan Rice flag

    Declan Rice

    $1,607 Vol.

    2.0%
  • 16
    Rodri flagRodri
    16Rodri flag

    Rodri

    $3,887 Vol.

    2.0%
  • 17
    Rayan Cherki flagRayan Cherki
    17Rayan Cherki flag

    Rayan Cherki

    $3,596 Vol.

    1.8%
  • 18
    Bukayo Saka flagBukayo Saka
    18Bukayo Saka flag

    Bukayo Saka

    $2,028 Vol.

    0.9%
  • 19
    Neymar flagNeymar
    19Neymar flag

    Neymar

    $6,167 Vol.

    0.5%
  • 20
    Gavi flagGavi
    20Gavi flag

    Gavi

    $2,065 Vol.

    0.4%

How this settles

Resolution and payout rules

This prediction resolves on the official FIFA World Cup 2026 result for Who wins the 2026 Golden Ball?. YES shares pay $1.00 USDC at resolution; NO shares pay $0.00.

Category
Awards
Settlement date
Jul 20, 2026
Volume
$117K
Liquidity
$826K
Source
FIFA official / Polymarket CLOB
Scope
FIFA World Cup 2026 only
Illustrative odds until on-chain CLOB settlement is live on the hub.

Trade panel

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Lamine Yamal at 13.5% implied

Who wins the 2026 Golden Ball

Lamine Yamal

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To win7.14x
$0.00Payout if correct
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