TournamentSettles Jul 20, 2026

Who will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Price movement

Implied probability for the top five outcomes across selectable timeframes

$2,196,185,923 Vol.$466.46M Liq.Jul 20, 2026

Spain17%

France16%

Portugal11%

England10%

Brazil8%

Implied odds

Tap an outcome to load it in the trade panel

NationChanceTrade

1
Spain
01
Spain
Favorite
$42,488,577 Vol.
16.8%
2
France
02
France
$49,109,276 Vol.
16.1%
3
Portugal
03
Portugal
$44,658,663 Vol.
10.6%
4
England
04
England
$36,665,217 Vol.
9.7%
5
Brazil
05
Brazil
$37,998,798 Vol.
8.4%
6
Argentina
06
Argentina
$39,577,823 Vol.
7.9%
7
Germany
07
Germany
$40,778,598 Vol.
5.2%
8
Netherlands
08
Netherlands
$44,678,712 Vol.
5.0%
9
Norway
09
Norway
$44,291,886 Vol.
2.6%
10
Belgium
10
Belgium
$46,536,951 Vol.
2.1%
11
USA
11
USA
$66,758,185 Vol.
2.0%
12
Japan
12
Japan
$46,913,362 Vol.
2.0%
13
Colombia
13
Colombia
$46,684,527 Vol.
1.7%
14
Switzerland
14
Switzerland
$44,858,179 Vol.
1.5%
15
Morocco
15
Morocco
$49,549,849 Vol.
1.5%
16
Türkiye
16
Türkiye
$43,227,452 Vol.
1.4%
17
Mexico
17
Mexico
$51,694,775 Vol.
1.4%
18
Uruguay
18
Uruguay
$47,962,802 Vol.
0.9%
19
Ecuador
19
Ecuador
$52,074,520 Vol.
0.9%
20
Croatia
20
Croatia
$50,998,881 Vol.
0.9%
21
Senegal
21
Senegal
$42,213,298 Vol.
0.7%
22
South Korea
22
South Korea
$62,680,329 Vol.
0.5%
23
Austria
23
Austria
$47,814,367 Vol.
0.5%
24
Ivory Coast
24
Ivory Coast
$57,693,166 Vol.
0.4%
25
Sweden
25
Sweden
$36,123,501 Vol.
0.4%
26
Canada
26
Canada
$49,997,960 Vol.
0.3%
27
Scotland
27
Scotland
$46,943,533 Vol.
0.3%
28
IR Iran
28
IR Iran
$50,365,860 Vol.
0.2%
29
Ghana
29
Ghana
$41,523,901 Vol.
0.2%
30
Algeria
30
Algeria
$48,811,703 Vol.
0.2%
31
Bosnia & Herzegovina
31
Bosnia & Herzegovina
$36,107,227 Vol.
0.2%
32
Paraguay
32
Paraguay
$55,872,579 Vol.
0.2%
33
DR Congo
33
DR Congo
$61,310,588 Vol.
0.2%
34
Czechia
34
Czechia
$47,079,385 Vol.
0.2%
35
Australia
35
Australia
$50,549,898 Vol.
0.2%
36
Egypt
36
Egypt
$55,367,407 Vol.
0.2%
37
New Zealand
37
New Zealand
$45,986,725 Vol.
0.1%
38
Haiti
38
Haiti
$32,479,218 Vol.
0.1%
39
Jordan
39
Jordan
$32,106,441 Vol.
0.1%
40
Curaçao
40
Curaçao
$42,714,692 Vol.
0.1%
41
Tunisia
41
Tunisia
$35,960,342 Vol.
0.1%
42
Uzbekistan
42
Uzbekistan
$60,540,272 Vol.
0.1%
43
Panama
43
Panama
$19,730,160 Vol.
0.1%
44
🇮🇶Iraq
44🇮🇶
Iraq
$29,544,506 Vol.
0.1%
45
South Africa
45
South Africa
$38,833,832 Vol.
0.1%
46
Cape Verde
46
Cape Verde
$40,649,645 Vol.
0.1%
47
Qatar
47
Qatar
$42,363,800 Vol.
0.1%
48
Saudi Arabia
48
Saudi Arabia
$49,487,473 Vol.
0.1%

How this settles

Resolution and payout rules

This prediction resolves on the official FIFA World Cup 2026 result for Who will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. YES shares pay $1.00 USDC at resolution; NO shares pay $0.00.

Category: Tournament
Settlement date: Jul 20, 2026
Volume: $2.20B
Liquidity: $466.46M
Source: FIFA official / Polymarket CLOB
Scope: FIFA World Cup 2026 only

Illustrative odds until on-chain CLOB settlement is live on the hub.

All predictions

TournamentSettles Jul 20, 2026

Who will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Price movement

Implied probability for the top five outcomes across selectable timeframes

$2,196,185,923 Vol.$466.46M Liq.Jul 20, 2026

Spain17%

France16%

Portugal11%

England10%

Brazil8%

Implied odds

Tap an outcome to load it in the trade panel

NationChanceTrade

1
Spain
01
Spain
Favorite
$42,488,577 Vol.
16.8%
2
France
02
France
$49,109,276 Vol.
16.1%
3
Portugal
03
Portugal
$44,658,663 Vol.
10.6%
4
England
04
England
$36,665,217 Vol.
9.7%
5
Brazil
05
Brazil
$37,998,798 Vol.
8.4%
6
Argentina
06
Argentina
$39,577,823 Vol.
7.9%
7
Germany
07
Germany
$40,778,598 Vol.
5.2%
8
Netherlands
08
Netherlands
$44,678,712 Vol.
5.0%
9
Norway
09
Norway
$44,291,886 Vol.
2.6%
10
Belgium
10
Belgium
$46,536,951 Vol.
2.1%
11
USA
11
USA
$66,758,185 Vol.
2.0%
12
Japan
12
Japan
$46,913,362 Vol.
2.0%
13
Colombia
13
Colombia
$46,684,527 Vol.
1.7%
14
Switzerland
14
Switzerland
$44,858,179 Vol.
1.5%
15
Morocco
15
Morocco
$49,549,849 Vol.
1.5%
16
Türkiye
16
Türkiye
$43,227,452 Vol.
1.4%
17
Mexico
17
Mexico
$51,694,775 Vol.
1.4%
18
Uruguay
18
Uruguay
$47,962,802 Vol.
0.9%
19
Ecuador
19
Ecuador
$52,074,520 Vol.
0.9%
20
Croatia
20
Croatia
$50,998,881 Vol.
0.9%
21
Senegal
21
Senegal
$42,213,298 Vol.
0.7%
22
South Korea
22
South Korea
$62,680,329 Vol.
0.5%
23
Austria
23
Austria
$47,814,367 Vol.
0.5%
24
Ivory Coast
24
Ivory Coast
$57,693,166 Vol.
0.4%
25
Sweden
25
Sweden
$36,123,501 Vol.
0.4%
26
Canada
26
Canada
$49,997,960 Vol.
0.3%
27
Scotland
27
Scotland
$46,943,533 Vol.
0.3%
28
IR Iran
28
IR Iran
$50,365,860 Vol.
0.2%
29
Ghana
29
Ghana
$41,523,901 Vol.
0.2%
30
Algeria
30
Algeria
$48,811,703 Vol.
0.2%
31
Bosnia & Herzegovina
31
Bosnia & Herzegovina
$36,107,227 Vol.
0.2%
32
Paraguay
32
Paraguay
$55,872,579 Vol.
0.2%
33
DR Congo
33
DR Congo
$61,310,588 Vol.
0.2%
34
Czechia
34
Czechia
$47,079,385 Vol.
0.2%
35
Australia
35
Australia
$50,549,898 Vol.
0.2%
36
Egypt
36
Egypt
$55,367,407 Vol.
0.2%
37
New Zealand
37
New Zealand
$45,986,725 Vol.
0.1%
38
Haiti
38
Haiti
$32,479,218 Vol.
0.1%
39
Jordan
39
Jordan
$32,106,441 Vol.
0.1%
40
Curaçao
40
Curaçao
$42,714,692 Vol.
0.1%
41
Tunisia
41
Tunisia
$35,960,342 Vol.
0.1%
42
Uzbekistan
42
Uzbekistan
$60,540,272 Vol.
0.1%
43
Panama
43
Panama
$19,730,160 Vol.
0.1%
44
🇮🇶Iraq
44🇮🇶
Iraq
$29,544,506 Vol.
0.1%
45
South Africa
45
South Africa
$38,833,832 Vol.
0.1%
46
Cape Verde
46
Cape Verde
$40,649,645 Vol.
0.1%
47
Qatar
47
Qatar
$42,363,800 Vol.
0.1%
48
Saudi Arabia
48
Saudi Arabia
$49,487,473 Vol.
0.1%

How this settles

Resolution and payout rules

This prediction resolves on the official FIFA World Cup 2026 result for Who will win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?. YES shares pay $1.00 USDC at resolution; NO shares pay $0.00.

Category: Tournament
Settlement date: Jul 20, 2026
Volume: $2.20B
Liquidity: $466.46M
Source: FIFA official / Polymarket CLOB
Scope: FIFA World Cup 2026 only

Illustrative odds until on-chain CLOB settlement is live on the hub.